Abstract
We examine asymmetry in the loss function of corporate executives in their exchange rate forecasts and test for rationality of the forecast under the assumption of a possibly asymmetric loss function. We find evidence that the loss function of the forecast with a 1-year horizon is symmetric and support for rationality. These findings hold for manufacturing and nonmanufacturing sectors.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 1135-1138 |
Number of pages | 4 |
Journal | Applied Economics Letters |
Volume | 20 |
Issue number | 12 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2013 Aug |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- asymmetric loss
- exchange rate
- forecast evaluation
- survey data
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Economics and Econometrics