@article{11878e553966430f86a4872e12ea25a3,
title = "Impacts of a warming marginal sea on torrential rainfall organized under the Asian summer monsoon",
abstract = "Monsoonal airflow from the tropics triggers torrential rainfall over coastal regions of East Asia in summer, bringing flooding situations into areas of growing population and industries. However, impacts of rapid seasonal warming of the shallow East China Sea ECS and its pronounced future warming upon extreme summertime rainfall have not been explored. Here we show through cloudresolving atmospheric model simulations that observational tendency for torrential rainfall events over western Japan to occur most frequently in July cannot be reproduced without the rapid seasonal warming of ECS. The simulations also suggest that the future ECS warming will increase precipitation substantially in such an extreme event as observed in midJuly 2012 and also the likelihood of such an event occurring in June. A need is thus urged for reducing uncertainties in future temperature projections over ECS and other marginal seas for better projections of extreme summertime rainfall in the surrounding areas.",
author = "Atsuyoshi Manda and Hisashi Nakamura and Naruhiko Asano and Satoshi Iizuka and Toru Miyama and Qoosaku Moteki and Yoshioka, {Mayumi K.} and Kazuaki Nishii and Takafumi Miyasaka",
note = "Funding Information: We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme{\textquoteright}s Working Group on Coupled Modelling, which is responsible for CMIP, and we thank the climate modeling groups (listed in Supplementary Table S1) for producing and making available their model output. For CMIP the U.S. Department of Energy{\textquoteright}s Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison provided coordinating support and led development of software infrastructure in partnership with the Global Organization for Earth System Science Portals. The CMIP5 data set we used is maintained by and handled at {\textquoteleft}{\textquoteleft}Data Integration and Analysis System{\textquoteright}{\textquoteright} Fund (DIAS) for National Key Technology and the Innovative Program of Climate Change Projection for the 21st Century ({\textquoteleft}{\textquoteleft}Kakushin{\textquoteright}{\textquoteright} Program) from the Japanese Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT). This work is supported in part by MEXT through a Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research in Innovative Area 2205 and the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research 22244057. H.N., K.N. and T.M. are also supported by the Japanese Ministry of Environment through the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund A1201.",
year = "2014",
month = jul,
day = "18",
doi = "10.1038/srep05741",
language = "English",
volume = "4",
journal = "Scientific Reports",
issn = "2045-2322",
publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",
}