Incidence of and risk factors for pacemaker implantation after the modified Cryo-Maze procedure for atrial fibrillation

Objectives: The Maze procedure is a well-established treatment for atrial fibrillation. However, it is sometimes associated with bradycardia requiring pacemaker implantation. We assessed the rates of in-hospital and late-onset pacemaker implantation after the modified Cryo-Maze procedure and explored the risk factors for pacemaker implantation. Methods: This study enrolled a series of 751 patients who underwent the modified Cryo-Maze procedure at our institution between 2001 and 2020. Multivariable Fine-Gray regression was used to analyze the risk factors for late-onset pacemaker implantation. Results: Twelve patients (1.6%) underwent in-hospital pacemaker implantation, and 55 patients (7.3%) underwent late-onset pacemaker implantation during a median follow-up of 4.5 years (interquartile range, 1.4-10.0). The most common primary indication for pacemaker implantation was sick sinus syndrome (56 patients [7.5%]), followed by complete atrioventricular block (11 patients [1.5%]). The cumulative incidence of late-onset pacemaker implantation with death as a competing risk was 2.8% at 1 year, 7.7% at 5 years, and 10.8% at 10 years. Risk factors for late-onset pacemaker implantation included a longer preoperative atrial fibrillation duration (hazard ratio, 1.14; P <.001) and an older age (hazard ratio, 1.05; P =.001). The mortality, cumulative incidence of cerebrovascular accidents, and rate of atrial fibrillation recurrence were not significantly different between patients with and without pacemaker implantation. Conclusions: Longer preoperative atrial fibrillation duration and older age are risk factors for late-onset pacemaker implantation after the modified Cryo-Maze procedure. However, the incidence of pacemaker implantation is not associated with increased morbidity or atrial fibrillation recurrence.